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DracoR666
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DracoR666
Iran Tensions Escalate, Oil Volatile; Gold Breaks $4,500, FOMC Minutes Signal
in
Experienced Traders
May 22 at 05:10
May 21, 2026Trump: "One Hour" from Striking Iran – War Could Expand Beyond Middle EastTensions between the US and Iran escalated dramatically overnight. President Trump admitted that he was only "one hour" away from ordering airstrikes on Iran but postponed to allow more time for negotiations. In response, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warned that if Washington launches another attack, the war will expand beyond the Middle East.The Strait of Hormuz is showing signs of renewed activity after months of disruption, though vessel traffic remains far below p...
Strong ADP Jobs Data and Hawkish Fed Bets Boost the Dollar
in
Experienced Traders
May 20 at 10:17
May 20, 2026The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its rally, trading near a one-month high around 99.30, after the latest ADP employment report showed US private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs over the previous four weeks – the strongest reading since the weekly series began in October 2025. The data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive policy stance for longer, with markets now pricing in a significant probability of a rate hike before year-end.Iran Tensions Escalate, Oil RalliesOil prices surged following renewed threats from President Do...
US Housing Data and EU Trade Balance – Light Start to a Heavy Week
in
Experienced Traders
May 19 at 05:04
May 19, 2026Today's Data – Housing Market in FocusAfter a relatively quiet Monday, markets get a few data points today:US NAHB Housing Market Index (May) – 1:00 GMT – expected to remain in contraction but stabilize.EU Trade Balance (Mar) – 20:00 GMT – forecast surplus to widen slightly.US ADP Employment Change (4-week average) – 23:15 GMT – a preview for next week’s payrolls.None of these are major market movers, but they provide context for the health of the US housing sector and European trade flows.Oil – Hormuz Optimism vs. Reality:M...
First of week analysis.
in
Experienced Traders
May 18 at 12:40
Sorry for been late post everyone, below is my analysisOil Holds Near 101, Gold Tests 4,500 – Week Ahead PreviewMay 18, 2026Oil – Geopolitics Still in Control:WTI crude oil started the week near $101 per barrel, after gaining more than 10% last week. The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, and global supply concerns continue to escalate. The International Energy Agency warned that even if the fighting ends next month, the oil market could remain severely undersupplied until October.Over the weekend, conflicting signals emerged. President Trump first said the US doesn&rsquo...
Hello everyone, How was ya all weeks? And below is my analysis.
in
Experienced Traders
May 18 at 10:46
That good for you brother
Why Is Gold Falling While Oil Stays Strong?
in
General
May 18 at 10:44
Might be God not smile with us yet 😁
Hello everyone, How was ya all weeks? And below is my analysis.
in
Experienced Traders
May 15 at 09:51
After a week packed with CPI, PPI, Jobless Claims, and Retail Sales, today's calendar is lighter but still worth watching:US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (May) – 23:30 GMT+7 – expected to remain in contraction territory but improve slightly from April.US Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) – 00:15 GMT+7 (Saturday early morning) – forecast +0.2%.Neither is a market‑mover on the scale of CPI or NFP, but they can add confirmation to the broader economic picture.Oil – Geopolitics Still the Main Driver:Oil prices remain supported despite the lack of fresh head...
Why Is Gold Falling While Oil Stays Strong?
in
General
May 15 at 09:04
Honestly, I think gold’s drop is mostly about macro pressure – nothing broken structurally. Higher US yields and a stronger dollar are still the main drivers in the short term. When real rates stay elevated, holding something that doesn’t pay interest (like gold) just becomes less attractive. So people rotate into cash and bonds instead. Even though inflation is still there, the market seems laser‑focused on rate expectations right now. That kind of shift tends to cause short‑term pullbacks even when the long‑term trend is still up. Would love to hear your thoughts more about...
Why Is Gold Falling While Oil Stays Strong?
in
General
May 14 at 11:23
I've been watching two very different stories unfold in the market this week and thought I'd share a quick breakdown. Hopefully, this helps other newer traders understand what's moving prices.Gold (XAU/USD) is falling:After Tuesday's US inflation report (CPI), gold dropped below 4,650 and is now testing support near 4,620. The reason? Inflation came in hotter than expected, which means the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates higher for longer. Higher rates and a stronger US dollar are bad for gold, which doesn't pay any interest.Key gold levels to watch:Support...
Peace Hopes Fade, Oil Rebounds, Gold Pressured by Rate Fears
in
General
May 11 at 14:21
May 11, 2026Oil Jumps as US-Iran Talks StallOil prices opened the week sharply higher, with WTI climbing above 101.80 and Brent near 104.40 after President Trump dismissed Iran’s latest counterproposal as “completely unacceptable.” Tehran responded by threatening “immediate retaliation” if the UK and France deploy warships to the Strait of Hormuz.The risk of prolonged supply disruption has quickly repriced. Just last week, markets were euphoric over a potential MOU. Now, the geopolitical premium is back.Gold Tumbles Below $4,700 – Not Acting as a Safe HavenS...
Iran Sets New Conditions for Ending the War: Recognition, Distance from Israel
in
Experienced Traders
May 07 at 11:52
By [Draco/BCR] – May 7, 2026Iran has just raised the stakes. On May 7, the spokesperson for Iran's Ministry of Defense, Reza Tarae nik, declared that Israel must first recognize the rights of the Iranian people. Only then, he said, would the path be opened to end the war.He went further. The United States, he added, cannot escape the quagmire in the Middle East unless it recognizes the rights of the Iranian people, keeps its distance from Israel, and faces reality.What This Means for the Peace ProcessUntil now, the main focus of US‑Iran negotiations has been the reopening of the Stra...
BCR
in
Pialang
Apr 24 at 09:13
Good broker for those who want low spreads and reliable execution. I’ve recommended to two friends.
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