거래자의 약속 내역 보고서
The COT data is widely used in technical and fundamental analysis to gain insights into potential market shifts, reversals, or ongoing trends. Whether you are backtesting strategies or studying institutional behavior, this page offers a comprehensive archive of trader positioning history in an easy-to-navigate format.
Traders can browse through weekly reports dating back to 2006 to see how different market participants, such as commercial hedgers and large speculators, were positioned in futures markets. This historical archive is a valuable tool for analyzing long-term market sentiment and trading patterns.
What is the Commitments of Traders (COT) report?
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It provides a breakdown of open interest in U.S. futures markets, showing how different groups of traders are positioned. These groups typically include:
- Commercials (hedgers): businesses and institutions that use futures to hedge against price fluctuations, such as oil companies or agricultural producers.
- Non-commercials (large speculators): investment funds and professional traders who speculate on price movements.
- Non-reportable positions (small traders): retail and smaller participants.
By analyzing these reports, traders gain a clearer picture of overall market sentiment and the balance between buyers and sellers.
What types of markets are included in the COT Historical View?
COT 보고서는 미국의 다양한 선물 시장을 폭넓게 다룹니다. 여기에는 다음이 포함됩니다:
- 원자재 예: 금, 은, 원유(크루드 오일), 구리, 알루미늄, 팔라듐, 백금.
- 통화 예: 유로, 일본 엔, 영국 파운드, 스위스 프랑, 캐나다 달러 등.
이처럼 폭넓은 커버리지는 Historical View를 외환(Forex) 트레이더뿐 아니라 원자재, 주식, 거시경제 분석가들에게도 유용한 도구로 만들어 줍니다.
How do traders use the COT Historical View in practice?
Traders and analysts use the Historical View in different ways depending on their trading style:
- Trend confirmation: If large speculators are steadily increasing long positions, it may confirm a bullish trend.
- Contrarian signals: When positioning becomes extreme, such as record-high long positions, it may signal an upcoming reversal.
- Hedging insights: Commercial traders often take the opposite side of speculators, which can reveal hedging demand and real-world business expectations.
- Backtesting: Historical data allows traders to test strategies and see how markets reacted to similar positioning levels in the past.
In essence, the Historical View provides context that helps traders avoid relying only on short-term signals.
How often is the COT report released, and when is the Historical View updated?
The COT report is released by the CFTC every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time, reflecting data from the previous Tuesday’s market close. This three-day lag is standard and applies to all COT data. The Historical View on Myfxbook updates accordingly, archiving each new weekly report so traders can access it anytime.
Can beginners benefit from the Historical View, or is it mainly for professionals?
Beginners can benefit from studying the Historical View. At first, the data may appear technical, but with practice, new traders can learn how positioning influences market behavior. It is often easier for beginners to start by comparing large shifts in positions rather than analyzing every number in detail. Professionals, on the other hand, tend to use the Historical View in more advanced ways, such as combining it with technical analysis, sentiment indicators, or macroeconomic data to refine their strategies.
