What is considered a great EA? :)

Sep 09, 2009 at 02:38
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54 Replies
Medlem sedan Jan 25, 2010   1360 inlägg
Jan 27, 2010 at 04:37
Donnalife: True. I agree 100% 😎 Why would anyone want to share a very profitable EA? Ok, maybe some people are VERY charitable (give a man a fish - feed him for a day, or teach a man to fish - feed him for life)

biz0101: Thanks! I like the look of your system (AnyTime), except that it is demo! 😝
Medlem sedan Jan 05, 2010   92 inlägg
Jan 27, 2010 at 09:40
There must be some percentage of traders selling real and working EA's, however they are very few and it will not cost you $39.99.

You better go with a managed account with profit sharing basis with the trader, since then you know you have the same interests as the trader.
Patience is a virtue.
Medlem sedan Jan 05, 2010   92 inlägg
Jan 27, 2010 at 12:29 (redigerad Jan 27, 2010 at 12:31)
With EA sellers, they do not care for the performance of their EA, since all they need is a good back-test result to make a pitch. When you have a managed account, the trader doesn't make any money if you don't, so you can be sure he will put in all of his effort to make it work.

Also, if an EA works, the creator can make much more money by finding investors rather then selling copies for a couple of bucks.
Patience is a virtue.
Medlem sedan Aug 20, 2009   32 inlägg
Mar 03, 2010 at 02:38
1. What % per month should it be averaging? To be reasonnable, I think 8% per month is a good performance and if you will make this run during 5 years you will be happy :-) The second point is more your account grow up and less you performance grow up : it's look like correlation sizing account ...
2. How long should it be forward tested? It's good to make a forward test to see what's happen in a specific period. In fact, I use forward test to see what's happen when the EA runs in the wrong way of the market.
3. Do you think back tested results are important? Yes and not. I prefer to watch the EA run in a demo account and react when it's the hell with a negative floating.
4. What other factors should we look at before buying an EA? Before to buy an EA it's important to know your trading style. Almost of the EA not represent your trading style, so it's always delicat.
5. Are most commercial EAs hyped? All the commercial EAs are hyped... Almost of the people buy a dream and live with a nightmare :-)
6. Are you personally doing well using an EA? Yes, with my own EA but in a live account the story is never the same as a demo account.
Trading is statistical and emotional game :-)
Medlem sedan Mar 05, 2010   6 inlägg
Mar 11, 2010 at 12:23
A great EA :

first- the EA must HAVE really low drawndow , both absolute and relative. Than your margin is safe.
Second - Strategy must have at least 85% of accuracy on everybacktest from 2007 til today.
Third- Consistet profits. not 100% a month , not 1% a month , not 1000% month. Consistent profits means that your final equitity curve fits your NEEDS . ( personally i got 4 EA's and each one makes 10 to 20% /month , but when one goes wrong the others go good , and the balance still great )
Fourth- Phases - > Phase 1 Backtest , best results , than demo forward test , best broker/bank results , than live account , with low money and low risk , working good = At least 3 months of success before you make , if necessary , other changes.
 
Things That you HAVE TO DODGE! --> EA's that equitity and liquid curve are not the same. what? yes it means that the EA manage the position by holding. and thats NOT a good thing. HOPE its not a good thing in forex, you need to be sure(99%) if you are wrong , get over it go to another, thats a good EA TALKING.

My opinion : A good investment never rely on just one , Bank/broker , EA's/Strategy or Currency , All of those 3 are all risks that can be manage by fiding at least 2 of them with good Numbers. And mixing all together you can have good returns , enough to live if you already have money ( yes forex is for big guys ) , and if you dont you MUST be more patience to win some with time.

Well thats it for now. Best Regards.
! The Zurich Axioms by Max Gunther !
Medlem sedan Sep 10, 2009   134 inlägg
Mar 23, 2010 at 14:38
Does anyone has experience with this EA? https://secretsfromtheheart.com/trumpeter_info.htm
I didn´t find a review anywhere. This could be a good EA. Any users of this EA here?
Medlem sedan Oct 27, 2009   33 inlägg
Mar 23, 2010 at 15:27
Your right, results look great...but cant find a review anywhere in the entire internet.....Maybe that is a good thing?

I sent an email asking for more info....we will wait and see at this point....But to me sometimes no reviews could be good.
"To have more money in the account this Friday than we did last Friday"
Medlem sedan Sep 04, 2009   879 inlägg
Mar 24, 2010 at 04:40
Be careful, regards the trade statement a martingale strategy is involved...
Medlem sedan Mar 05, 2010   6 inlägg
Mar 24, 2010 at 13:18
Martingale is a double-edge weapon...
Agressive traders , may try...
i prefer not!
! The Zurich Axioms by Max Gunther !
Medlem sedan Sep 04, 2009   879 inlägg
Mar 24, 2010 at 13:25
Its the other way around. If u very experienced and not aggressive, than its a great(and safe) trading style as u may see on my long time performances...
Medlem sedan Dec 31, 2009   141 inlägg
Mar 24, 2010 at 18:10 (redigerad Mar 24, 2010 at 18:12)
paul posted:
    1. What % per month should it be averaging?
2. How long should it be forward tested?
3. Do you think back tested results are important?
4. What other factors should we look at before buying an EA?
5. Are most commercial EAs hyped?
6. Are you personally doing well using an EA?

Good questions Paul, thanks for asking...

1. Percent / month? I don't think that % / month is really relevant as it's too easy to skew. One can take 500 pips / month and make it turn 40% by over-trading with 1:500 leverage. It's also possible to take 2000 pips / month and make it turn 10% by under-trading too cautiously. In my view what should be measured is pips / month or pips / day on average. This is how I gauge the performance of our Volatility Trader. (See 'Volatility Trader Rel.3c - LIVE-A' discussion...)

2. Forward testing? Depends on the system. A static EA that only supports one trading mechanism should probably be forward tested for weeks or months before going live, but that depends too on one's risk tolerance. That being said, for an EA that is regularly adapted to current market conditions such as our Volatility Trader, forward testing does not really prove much -- market conditions change and the EA is continually being re-modeled to work with current conditions, so all forward testing proves is that the market conditions adaptation is currently good. The best forward test is with cautious use of real money.

3. Backtesting... That's a loaded question. 😉 It depends entirely on how it is being done and for what purpose. It probably also depends on the nature of the automation. For example, VT uses 'backtesting' so to speak as a modelling/programming phase that teaches the engine generally how the market is behaving in the recent past, with enough room for error that the past can be expected to project forward reasonably well enough to make trading decisions. In the case of our EA, modelling (i.e., 'backtesting') is critical to its designed function, and has less to do with generating fancy graphs than it has to do with teaching the pattern detection engine.

4. Considerations on buying an EA... I would probably not buy an EA again in the future, but if I did I would look for tight stops, use of hedging, attention to money management and account preservation, frequency of trading, good support for set-up details, etc. Also, I would want to know why someone would sell a successful EA in the first place. While I cannot really understand why anyone would sell a successful EA, I suppose that it's possible that there are conditions 'out there somewhere' that make selling one's EA the best way to market successful automation. Frankly I don't know. As many people have pointed out in the past, it's hard to imagine a reason to sell a successful EA -- to my mind it is better to just trade it or sell access to signals, managed accounts, etc.

5. Yes.

6. Yes. While rolling out and tuning the Volatility Trader over the past couple of months it up 15% since January with very low order sizing. VT Rel.3c is currently doing something like 150 pips per day on average. With the new money management guidelines we expect to see 20% - 30% per month going forward starting in April. Email to [email protected] if you would like to trade our signals.

Gear on the left...
Medlem sedan Oct 22, 2009   84 inlägg
Mar 30, 2010 at 00:02 (redigerad Mar 30, 2010 at 00:06)
paul posted:
    1. What % per month should it be averaging?
2. How long should it be forward tested?
3. Do you think back tested results are important?
4. What other factors should we look at before buying an EA?
5. Are most commercial EAs hyped?
6. Are you personally doing well using an EA?

1) More than a bank could offer you in a year.
2) At least a month+
3) Only if they represent true history data and the broker supplying the data uses the same pip spread calcs. on history data being used for back testing as the account you intend to use it on. And I know for a fact of at least one very well known broker that does not, so back testing becomes pointless!
4) On-going support, free updates, the cost versus the returns achieved, money back guarantee etc. etc.
5) Err..yes.
6) Yes, very well thanks! 19.74% per month at time of writing!
When everything else out there is just not good enough, design your own! MIDAS
Medlem sedan Aug 31, 2009   131 inlägg
Mar 30, 2010 at 01:02 (redigerad Mar 30, 2010 at 01:29)
donnalife posted:
1. What % per month should it be averaging? 10-25% per month constant
2. How long should it be forward tested? 2-3 months max.
3. Do you think back tested results are important? no
4. What other factors should we look at before buying an EA?
5. Are most commercial EAs hyped?
6. Are you personally doing well using an EA?

1. Make 5% to 10% a month and you'll do over 100% per year. George Soro's and Warren B would be Jealous.
2. A month plus or until you see the EA follow the strategy rules flawlessly every time.
3. No. I dont believe in them. Backtests are crap. (I only backtest to check code. I ignore the results.)
4. Forward Demo's with known brokers. LIVE Money Forward tests. (if a scalper)
5. It Slices. It Dices. It'll Grow Hair and Fill your Pockets with CASH!!...
6. Yep. 5-15% per month with about 9% DD is fine with me.
It ain't easy being Cheesy!
Medlem sedan Apr 20, 2010   14 inlägg
Apr 20, 2010 at 10:08
Wow, first Post. I am currently 'playing' with EA development and am writing my own code at the moment. It does show promise. From my experience and perspective a great EA needs to obviously make money. It must do this:

a) Consistently
b) Without risking large % of account
c) Not opening 10 trades in one direction at the same time, just increase the lot size for F$% sake.
d) Low Drawdown, anything over 20% is too high in my opinion, and less than 10% commendable and anything less than 5% is great.
and finally, one which I cannot stress enough
d) Not make profit by trading with no stop loss or such a large stop loss so that you risk reward is terrible. I greatly disapprove of seeing EA backtests/forwardtests with the balance always increasing and it seems to be so consistent and awesome, until you realise that the account is actually in negative equity and floating on a number of losing positions. Just because you don't close the trade doesnt mean that it didnt happen.😡

And to the people bagging backtests, while a backtest is by no means an absolute proving ground and I wouldnt rely on it. If an EA cannot make good results on a backtest, it is not worth progressing with forward testing. And as already mentioned, backtesting is the only way to check the validity of coding routines and functions. I personally, ( as I believe most developers would be) would be completely lost without the ability to backtest.

Just my $0.02
Medlem sedan Aug 02, 2016   2 inlägg
Aug 02, 2016 at 06:35
paul posted:
Jacky, thanks for your post... Are you currently using any EA? Any toa recommend?

aaaaa
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