Grexit warning!
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Feb 22, 2011
4573 โพสต์
Jun 26, 2015 at 17:23
As you are probably aware, there is a Eurogroup meeting this Saturday to seek a final agreement between Greece and it's creditors ahead of an IMF loan repayment due on June 30th. Without an agreement on financial aid, Greece will be unable to make this payment and will technically be in default.
The Greek situation has been at the forefront of the FX markets for several months and is now coming to an 'end game'. Whilst the outcome of this meeting is unpredictable, it will very likely lead to an increase in market volatility, with potential significant market gaps on the opening of the market on Sunday. Please note this will not be limited to just EUR currency pairs, but all pairs as well as precious metals and CFDS. In light of this we would like to advise all clients to assess their current levels of risk ahead of the weekend, paying particular attention to any pending orders you may have with us.
The Greek situation has been at the forefront of the FX markets for several months and is now coming to an 'end game'. Whilst the outcome of this meeting is unpredictable, it will very likely lead to an increase in market volatility, with potential significant market gaps on the opening of the market on Sunday. Please note this will not be limited to just EUR currency pairs, but all pairs as well as precious metals and CFDS. In light of this we would like to advise all clients to assess their current levels of risk ahead of the weekend, paying particular attention to any pending orders you may have with us.
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Feb 22, 2011
4573 โพสต์
Jun 26, 2015 at 17:23
IMHO EUR will dive deep and we should stay away with no open positions
forex_trader_186239
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Apr 15, 2014
224 โพสต์
Jun 27, 2015 at 07:33
What do you think gonna happen tomorrow ?
forex_trader_201100
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 25, 2014
177 โพสต์
Jun 27, 2015 at 07:37
theHand posted:
Meanwhile eurusd moved a whole 50 pips for 3 days.
Oh, but it is going to move a whole lot more soon. This is a cautious market but when it breaks out, it will be a volatile one.
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jan 30, 2015
4 โพสต์
Jun 27, 2015 at 07:37
That is so true, can't wait for the Greek situation to be resolved as its caused a major forex pairs eg EUR/USD to stand to a halt. Our trading group took 4 wins out of 5 trades that we placed last week. One trade a day, on a whole we took a hit Monday of 45 pips, but then on the other days combined we gained about 220 pips, not bad for a poor week - 175pips.
Can't wait for July!!!!!!!!
Can't wait for July!!!!!!!!
Jun 27, 2015 at 08:50
Lol - You think it's over with Greece ?
We've got Spain and Italy coming, which are far bigger problems than Greece. Greece is just the first of the European countries to fail.
Meanwhile the Russians and Chinese are launching a second global financial system that most of Europe, thus NATO signed on for precisely because the western system is starting to fail. The only way for US to stop that is to have a NATO country attacked in the next 6 months which will be WW III.
That is if the system survives that long.
We'll be lucky to be alive in 6 months, never mind trading. EurUsd is the least of our problems.
We've got Spain and Italy coming, which are far bigger problems than Greece. Greece is just the first of the European countries to fail.
Meanwhile the Russians and Chinese are launching a second global financial system that most of Europe, thus NATO signed on for precisely because the western system is starting to fail. The only way for US to stop that is to have a NATO country attacked in the next 6 months which will be WW III.
That is if the system survives that long.
We'll be lucky to be alive in 6 months, never mind trading. EurUsd is the least of our problems.
Jun 27, 2015 at 13:49
(แก้ไขแล้ว Jun 27, 2015 at 13:55)
The other thought around this, we need to remember Cyprus was a practice run for bail-in's. Within 3 months after that most western countries changed their laws to do the same.
If we see this in Greece, and I suspect we will, it doesn't take much to imagination that the whole of Europe will see bank runs. I suspect there's been a slow run for months already as the money went east. And that means bank failures. Considering the OTC exposures that some of these banks are sitting with and their exposure to sovereign debt...
There's only 3 ways this end. Decades of deflation, hyper-inflationary depression or WW III. The last time we had a depression WW II followed anyway.
But here's a thought, what currency is borderless, out of government control, liquid, easy and cheap to transfer?
Bitcoin of course. I wonder if the big winner in all of this isn't going to be the crypto's as people scramble for something, anything out of government control.
The internet was designed for exactly this. A decentralised way of storing and distributing information in case of disruption. Hopefully people will finally see why government and money needs to be handled the same way.
If we see this in Greece, and I suspect we will, it doesn't take much to imagination that the whole of Europe will see bank runs. I suspect there's been a slow run for months already as the money went east. And that means bank failures. Considering the OTC exposures that some of these banks are sitting with and their exposure to sovereign debt...
There's only 3 ways this end. Decades of deflation, hyper-inflationary depression or WW III. The last time we had a depression WW II followed anyway.
But here's a thought, what currency is borderless, out of government control, liquid, easy and cheap to transfer?
Bitcoin of course. I wonder if the big winner in all of this isn't going to be the crypto's as people scramble for something, anything out of government control.
The internet was designed for exactly this. A decentralised way of storing and distributing information in case of disruption. Hopefully people will finally see why government and money needs to be handled the same way.
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jan 30, 2015
4 โพสต์
Jun 28, 2015 at 06:22
theHand posted:
Lol - You think it's over with Greece ?
We've got Spain and Italy coming, which are far bigger problems than Greece. Greece is just the first of the European countries to fail.
Meanwhile the Russians and Chinese are launching a second global financial system that most of Europe, thus NATO signed on for precisely because the western system is starting to fail. The only way for US to stop that is to have a NATO country attacked in the next 6 months which will be WW III.
That is if the system survives that long.
We'll be lucky to be alive in 6 months, never mind trading. EurUsd is the least of our problems.
Well at least trading for July will be fine 😉
forex_trader_186239
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Apr 15, 2014
224 โพสต์
Jun 28, 2015 at 06:27
All will be more or less smoothly I believe, no global hyper shocks...
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Feb 22, 2011
4573 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 02:46
theHand posted:
Meanwhile eurusd moved a whole 50 pips for 3 days.
EURUSD drop from near 1.12000 to 1.09000. That's huge.
forex_trader_201100
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 25, 2014
177 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 06:32
Greece is staying in the EU
forex_trader_201100
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 25, 2014
177 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 06:33
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Feb 22, 2011
4573 โพสต์
Jun 29, 2015 at 16:09
togr posted:theHand posted:
Meanwhile eurusd moved a whole 50 pips for 3 days.
EURUSD drop from near 1.12000 to 1.09000. That's huge.
And it is back to 1.12000
Last spasm before death? ;)
forex_trader_201100
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Jul 25, 2014
177 โพสต์
Jun 30, 2015 at 06:23
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Feb 22, 2011
4573 โพสต์
Jun 30, 2015 at 08:47
Greece most probably wont pay today's repayment to IMF.
That's path leading to default.
EUR will be extremely volatile.
It could be opportunity or threat for your trading, it depends on your approach:)
That's path leading to default.
EUR will be extremely volatile.
It could be opportunity or threat for your trading, it depends on your approach:)
เป็นสมาชิกตั้งแต่ Oct 02, 2014
905 โพสต์
Jun 30, 2015 at 12:29
I heard that the decision on Greece is expected at 11pm London time, no source though.
Positivity
Jul 01, 2015 at 06:33
I earned like 94% of equity from EURUSD because of Grexit. The last minute before the market closed on Friday, I opened SELL with very very high lot and very very tight stop loss and no TP. I knew EUR will go down with very large GAP. Then on Monday... BOOM! Very Big profit! Man.. I love that Monday! 😁
Focus on the GOOD and BE HAPPY all the time!
