Asia slows more than expected

Expert market comment from Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Asia slows more than expected
FxPro | 1416 gün önce

Asia slows more than expected

The statistics packages from China and Japan - the largest economies in the Asian region - came out below expectations, highlighting weak domestic demand and production.

Japan's economy lost 0.3% in the third quarter while it was expected to grow by the same amount. Meanwhile, real GDP added 1.8% y/y. A jump in imports was responsible for the decrease while private consumption showed a relatively moderate positive contribution.

Industrial production lost 1.9% in September, reversing a sharp turnaround after three months of growth, during which the index increased by 13.4%. A jump in energy prices prevents production from taking full advantage of the weaker yen. China's slowdown will likely constrain Japan's industry by not giving it enough orders.

 

China noted a 0.5% y/y fall in retail sales thanks to 0-covid restrictions. These are gradually easing but remain much more restrained than in other major economies worldwide. Industrial Production growth slowed to 5% y/y last month versus 6.3% in September.

Weighing retail sales and manufacturing numbers would be enough of a signal for the government to step up support to the economy.

 

Considering the weak data from Japan and China, their currencies have particularly strengthened this month by 6.5% and 4%, respectively. Currency volatility risks hurting exporters for whom exchange rate stability might be a better option after a slump since the start of the year.

 

By the FxPro Analyst Team 

FxPro
Tür: NDD
Düzenleme: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
devamını oku
US Data Revisions: A Brighter Inflation Picture, but Underlying Pressures Persist

US Data Revisions: A Brighter Inflation Picture, but Underlying Pressures Persist

Revisions to five years of US data have lifted estimated household income and lowered reported inflation, largely through changes to the treatment of interest income and financial services. Yet consumer spending remains robust, inflation is still elevated and Treasury yields have reached new highs. The figures may look better, but the underlying economic pressures have barely changed.
Headway | 3s 9 dakika önce
USDJPY recovery eyes key SMA resistance band

USDJPY recovery eyes key SMA resistance band

USDJPY rebounds off 156.50 support, eyeing 50 & 200-day SMA cluster near 158.30-158.50. Clearing this opens 159.60 & 160.40, but #RSI & #MACD warrant caution. Loss of 156.50 weakens the setup.
XM Group | 3s 10 dakika önce
The euro has slipped out of its range

The euro has slipped out of its range

A resilient US economy and higher oil prices support the dollar, while inflation, debt risks and political instability in France weigh on the euro.
FxPro | 5s 42 dakika önce
Crypto: calm before the storm?

Crypto: calm before the storm?

The crypto market is holding at $2.86T, but a stronger dollar and the bond sell-off raise the risk of a flight from assets. Bitcoin ended September higher and enters a strong season.
FxPro | 5s 45 dakika önce
Dollar strengthens as risk appetite weakens

Dollar strengthens as risk appetite weakens

Following a challenging September, risk assets start October on the wrong foot; October Fed rate hike bets drop following softer US data and lower oil prices; Focus on busy Fedspeak and US data; could Fed doves resist the hawkish pressure? Yen under pressure ahead of key Tokyo inflation data; gold bounces off $4,110;
XM Group | 8s 17 dakika önce