Market Update: Understanding the Recent US Dollar Drop and Its Implications

Let's dive straight into the recent market movements that have been causing quite a stir. The massive drop in US 2-year bond yields has been an absolute game-changer, significantly impacting the US dollar's trajectory. But let's unpack the core of this before anything else.

Let's dive straight into the recent market movements that have been causing quite a stir. The massive drop in US 2-year bond yields has been an absolute game-changer, significantly impacting the US dollar's trajectory. But let's unpack the core of this before anything else.

For those eager to delve deeper into this, head over to ACY.com and dive into my research. Make sure you've already subscribed for my upcoming webinar next Tuesday. Now, onto the nitty-gritty—what exactly led to this substantial drop in the US 2-year yields?

Over the span of three days, we've witnessed a staggering 4.4% plummet. This plunge stemmed from comments made by various Fed governors, specifically Governor Waller, whose comments yesterday caught attention. Initially, in line with hawkish views, he hinted at potential interest rate hikes. However, the intrigue unfolded during the Q&A session when he suggested a rate cut around March.

This contradiction between governors—expectations of rate hikes versus hints of rate cuts—has thrown the market into a bit of a frenzy, nudging sentiments towards potential rate cuts, evident in the sharp drop we've observed.

But wait, there's more to this puzzle. Remember, keep a close eye on the US 2-year and 10-year yields, especially after recent drops. Also, don't overlook the PCE (Personal Consumption) prices, which didn't perform as expected in the quarter-over-quarter data.

The most crucial factor, the GDP, surprisingly came in at 5.2% against the expected 4.9%. Despite this impressive figure, it didn't trigger a bullish move for the US dollar. Market sentiment appears to have shifted towards scrutinizing Fed speakers' comments for guidance.

The prevailing outlook seems to lean towards a potential pause in December, followed by probable rate cuts in the upcoming year. I'll be digging deeper into these scenarios during my next webinar on Tuesday. Don't miss out—subscribe to our webinar and channel here on YouTube for more insights.

Remember, with each Fed speaker's remarks, the market reacts—so stay vigilant. And if you miss the live sessions, catch the updates or analyses afterward. Your understanding of these dynamics will be key to making informed decisions in these volatile times.

Alright, wishing you a fantastic end to the trading week. I'll catch you in the next update. Cheers!

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Düzenleme: ASIC (Australia), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
Dollar fights an uphill battle amidst mounting tariff pressure

Dollar fights an uphill battle amidst mounting tariff pressure

More Trump letters to be sent, with copper, chips and pharmas next on the tariff list; Dollar struggles to hold recent gains, except versus the yen; US equities on the back foot, underperforming their European counterparts; RBNZ stands pat; Antipodeans post small gains against the greenback;
XM Group | 17s 12 dakika önce
ATFX Market Outlook 9th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 9th July 2025

On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump escalated the global trade war by announcing a 50% tariff on imported copper and reiterated that long-threatened tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals are also imminent. U.S. equities ended mixed as investors awaited further clarity on trade policy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.37%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.07%, while the Nasdaq edged up 0.03%
ATFX | 17s 22 dakika önce
Gold Drops Below $3,300 as Fed Rate Forecasts Shift

Gold Drops Below $3,300 as Fed Rate Forecasts Shift

Gold prices fell below 3,300 USD per troy ounce on Wednesday, extending losses after a 1% decline the previous day. The downward pressure stemmed from the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance, which partially offset concerns over escalating trade tensions.
RoboForex | 17s 42 dakika önce
Oil and Copper Surge as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Escalate | 9th July, 2025

Oil and Copper Surge as Geopolitical and Trade Risks Escalate | 9th July, 2025

On July 9, oil jumps above $67.00 on renewed Red Sea attacks, while copper surges past $5.50 after Trump vows 50% tariffs if re-elected. DXY edges up past 97.50 ahead of FOMC Minutes. China’s CPI surprises slightly at 0.1% YoY, offering mixed signals. AUD/USD trades flat, and markets brace for further volatility driven by Fed outlook and trade policy threats.
Moneta Markets | 21s 0 dakika önce