ECB Cuts Interest Rates By 25 Bps Again Despite 'Exceptional Uncertainty'

RTTNews | 245天前
ECB Cuts Interest Rates By 25 Bps Again Despite 'Exceptional Uncertainty'

(RTTNews) - The European Central Bank slashed its key interest rates by a quarter basis point on Thursday, as expected, as policymakers assessed that disinflation remains on track but acknowledged that the significant uncertainty due to the escalation in the tariff war is going to hurt the Eurozone economic outlook.

The Governing Council, led by ECB President Christine Lagarde, cut the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent. The central bank lowered interest rates for the sixth policy session in a row.

The main refinancing rate was lowered by similar volume to 2.40 percent and the marginal lending rate to 2.65 percent.

The ECB has lowered interest rates by a quarter basis points each in every rate-setting session since September.

"Most measures of underlying inflation suggest that inflation will settle at around the Governing Council's 2 percent medium-term target on a sustained basis," the ECB said.

"The euro area economy has been building up some resilience against global shocks, but the outlook for growth has deteriorated owing to rising trade tensions," the bank added.

The ECB observed that increased uncertainty is likely to hurt confidence among households and firms, and the adverse and volatile market response to the trade tensions is likely to have a tightening impact on financing conditions. The bank expects these factors to further weigh on the economic outlook for the euro area.

"Especially in current conditions of exceptional uncertainty, it will follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate monetary policy stance," the bank said.

The central bank reiterated that it will not pre-commit to a particular rate path.

ING economist Carsten Brzeski said the latest rate cut was somewhat of a surprise given the escalating trade tensions, unprecedented policy uncertainty and the strengthening of the euro exchange rate. The economist expects more rate cuts in future.

"…to some extent, today's rate cut decision is also an insurance cut," Brzeski said. "An insurance cut Lagarde-style. Today's cut won't do any harm; staying on hold would not only have cast doubt about the ECB's willingness to bolster growth but could also lead to a further and unwarranted strengthening of the euro."

read more
German GfK Consumer Confidence Set To Fall

German GfK Consumer Confidence Set To Fall

German consumer confidence is set to drop at the start of the year 2026 as rising inflation fears weigh on income expectations and purchase decisions, monthly survey data published jointly by NIQ/GfK and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions showed Friday. The forward-looking consumer confidence index fell to -26.9 in January from revised -23.4 in December.
RTTNews | 4小时51分钟前
ECB Holds Rate Steady Again, Lifts Eurozone Growth Forecasts

ECB Holds Rate Steady Again, Lifts Eurozone Growth Forecasts

The European Central Bank left its key interest rate unchanged for the fourth policy session in a row and raised the growth forecasts for the euro area citing support from domestic demand, but the bank also lifted the inflation projection for next year as policymakers expect services inflation to ease more slowly than expected earlier.
RTTNews | 19小时50分钟前
German Ifo Business Sentiment At 7-Month Low

German Ifo Business Sentiment At 7-Month Low

German business confidence deteriorated to a seven-month low in December as companies were more pessimistic about the first half of next year, survey data from the Munich-based ifo Institute showed on Wednesday. The business climate index dropped to 87.6 in December from 88.0 in November. The score was expected to rise to 88.2.
RTTNews | 2天前
Eurozone Private Sector Growth Moderates In December

Eurozone Private Sector Growth Moderates In December

The euro area private sector growth eased in December as the manufacturing sector contracted and the services activity logged a weaker expansion, a flash survey compiled by S&P Global showed on Tuesday. The HCOB composite output index, which measures overall private sector activity, dipped to 51.9 in December from a final reading of 52.8 in November.
RTTNews | 2天前
German Economic Confidence Strongest In 5 Months

German Economic Confidence Strongest In 5 Months

German economic sentiment strengthened to a five-month high in December as analysts expect the expansive fiscal policy to support economic recovery, the financial market survey conducted by the think tank ZEW showed Tuesday. The economic sentiment index advanced to 45.8 in December from 38.5 in the previous month, reaching the highest since last July. The score was seen at 38.4.
RTTNews | 3天前
Eurozone Industrial Production Growth Strongest In 5 Months

Eurozone Industrial Production Growth Strongest In 5 Months

Euro area industrial production increased at the fastest pace in five months in October led by robust output growth in the energy sector and non-durable goods manufacturing, preliminary data from the statistical office Eurostat showed on Monday.
RTTNews | 3天前
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Improves In December

Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Improves In December

Eurozone investor sentiment improved at the end of the year but the negative reading suggests that the economy remains in the phase of stagnation, survey results from the behavioral research institute Sentix showed on Monday. The investor confidence index rose to -6.2 in December from -7.4 in November. The reading came in line with expectations.
RTTNews | 11天前
German Industrial Output Posts Stronger-Than-Expected Growth

German Industrial Output Posts Stronger-Than-Expected Growth

Germany's industrial production growth accelerated unexpectedly in October, strengthening hopes of economic recovery. Industrial output logged a monthly growth of 1.8 percent in October after posting a revised 1.1 percent rise in September, Destatis reported Monday. Economists were expecting the growth to ease sharply to 0.2 percent from September's initially estimated rise of 1.3 percent.
RTTNews | 11天前