JPY Boosted by Speculation of BOJ's Impending Policy Shift

Luca Santos, Technical Analyst at ACY Securities, brings breaking news in the trading world regarding the sudden plummet of USD/JPY. In a rapid 100-pip downward movement observed overnight, Santos delves into the underlying reasons behind this significant decline.

Luca Santos, Technical Analyst at ACY Securities, brings breaking news in the trading world regarding the sudden plummet of USD/JPY. In a rapid 100-pip downward movement observed overnight, Santos delves into the underlying reasons behind this significant decline.

As the Japanese yen demonstrates a surge in strength against the dollar, Santos analyzes the recent charts and price movements, emphasizing the breach of crucial support levels and the ensuing momentum. The catalyst behind this stark move? Governor Kuroda's discussions with Prime Minister Kishida regarding potential monetary policy tweaks in the upcoming Bank of Japan (BOJ) December meeting.

Santos refers to an insightful report accessible on ACY Securities' learning portal, elaborating on Governor Kuroda's conversations with the Prime Minister. Reports from sources like Bloomberg shed light on the discussion's focus on economic conditions, especially the closely monitored aspects of wages and their probable impact on prices.

The routine discussions between BOJ governors and Prime Ministers, as disclosed by Governor Ueda, align with Santos's analysis. Ueda's address to Parliament emphasized the commitment to achieve inflation goals while sustaining accommodative policies aimed at supporting wage growth.

The most intriguing aspect Santos highlights revolves around the prospects of an exit from the negative rate policy. Although Governor Ueda hinted at this possibility, he emphasized the importance of effective communication before any policy changes, indicating a cautious approach.

The unease regarding a potential departure from the negative rate policy has significantly impacted the Japanese government bond market. Santos notes a marked increase in ten-year Japanese government bond yields, coupled with the lowest bid coverages in thirty-year bond auctions since 2015.

Santos concludes with a reminder of his previous insights from earlier in the year, hinting at a potential short trade on USD/JPY leading up to year-end. He highlights the importance of paying heed to updates from the Bank of Japan, especially remarks made during parliamentary meetings.

With an invitation to join his upcoming webinar, Santos prepares traders for potential shifts in USD/JPY movements amidst evolving BOJ sentiments. As he signs off, Santos wishes traders a successful end to the trading week and a rewarding weekend ahead.

Catch up with the latest news and market analysis here https://acy.com/en/market-news

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Regulace: ASIC (Australia), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
ATFX Market Outlook 7th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 7th July 2025

U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies after President Trump’s landmark tax cut bill was passed, amid mounting pressure on countries to strike trade deals with Washington. As markets brace for the July 9 tariff deadline—targeting countries like Japan that have yet to reach agreements—the dollar index slipped 0.1% to 96.92.
ATFX | Před 1 h 37 min
ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.
ATFX | Před 3 dny
Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.
Moneta Markets | Před 3 dny
ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions
ATFX | Před 4 dny
Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

On July 2, the USD stabilizes as Fed rate cut bets build. GBP/USD nears 1.3750 highs, NZD/USD extends above 0.6120, and AUD/USD holds near 0.6820 despite soft retail sales. USD/JPY recovers to 146.20, while silver dips below $36. Markets await US labor data and Fed remarks for direction ahead of July 4.
Moneta Markets | Před 4 dny
ATFX Market Outlook 2nd July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 2nd July 2025

Fed Chairman Powell emphasised the need for more data before considering interest rate cuts, with a July cut still a possibility. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed lower due to weakness in large tech stocks, with the Nasdaq down 0.82% and the S&P 500 down 0.11%. In contrast, the Dow rose by 0.91% amid volatile trading and low liquidity.
ATFX | Před 5 dny
WTI Slides as Geopolitical Risks Ease | 1st July, 2025

WTI Slides as Geopolitical Risks Ease | 1st July, 2025

WTI dips below $64.50 as Middle East tensions ease, dampening supply fears. Silver struggles under $36, while AUD and NZD stay muted on weak China PMI. USD/JPY steadies near 145.90, and the yen holds gains on USD weakness. Traders now eye US ISM PMI and Fed minutes for clues on policy and market direction.
Moneta Markets | Před 5 dny
US500, EURUSD, USDJPY

US500, EURUSD, USDJPY

New record high for US 500 amid relief rally; Eurozone preliminary CPI to be within ECB’s target; EURUSD hits 4-year high; US NFP report the highlight of the week; USDJPY eases
XM Group | Před 6 dny