Weekly Market Analysis: US Dollar Focus, RBA Interest Rates & New Zealand Unemployment Data

As I kick off another week of market analysis, I can't help but dive straight into the latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which dropped unexpectedly higher last Friday. My prediction of a stronger NFP turned out to be accurate, indicating a positive trend in job additions.

As I kick off another week of market analysis, I can't help but dive straight into the latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which dropped unexpectedly higher last Friday. My prediction of a stronger NFP turned out to be accurate, indicating a positive trend in job additions.

But before we delve deeper into the week ahead, I want to extend a warm invitation to register for tomorrow's webinar, scheduled from 6 to 7 p.m. Sydney time. Your participation will add immense value to our discussion.

Register Here for the Webinar: https://acy.com/en/education/webinars/

Now, let's dissect the NFP figures. The forecast stood at 180,000, but the actual numbers soared to an impressive 353,000, nearly doubling the expectations. This surge is attributed to the heightened demand for labor during the festive season, reflecting a robust job market.

Looking forward, this week holds several key events. Today, we witnessed Fed Chair Powell's address on CBS's 60 Minutes, shedding light on monetary policies. Tomorrow, we anticipate the release of services PMI and non-manufacturing PMI data for January, expected to reflect December's economic activities.

Australia's retail sales and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision also loom on the horizon. Despite speculation, I believe the RBA will maintain its current rates, given the steady decline in inflation over the past year.

Wednesday brings New Zealand's employment change and unemployment rate updates for the fourth quarter, crucial indicators for assessing the country's economic performance.

Thursday remains relatively quiet, with crude oil investors taking center stage. However, Friday's German CPI and initial jobless claims in the US demand our attention, signaling potential market fluctuations.

As we navigate through these developments, I encourage you to share this video with friends eager to stay informed about the week's market dynamics. Your questions and comments are always welcome below, as we embark on another insightful journey together.

Here's to a rewarding trading week ahead, filled with opportunities and informed decision-making. Let's make it count!

Catch up with the latest news and market analysis here https://acy.com/en/market-news

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Regulace: ASIC (Australia), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
Why Silver could be the precious metal of 2025

Why Silver could be the precious metal of 2025

The gold bar is metallic yellow and slightly behind the silver bar, which is metallic white and positioned in front. Gold may still be the headline act, but silver’s no longer content playing second fiddle. In 2025, silver isn’t just glittering - it’s surging forward as one of the most exciting metals on the market.
Deriv | Před 1 dnem
Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Dollar surrenders gains posted after robust labour market report; Trump celebrates US budget bill approval; scheduled to sign it today; Most Fed members feel more comfortable as July rate cut is priced out; Oil steadies near $66, gold rally retains momentum;
XM Group | Před 1 dnem
ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.
ATFX | Před 1 dnem
Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Slide in US private payrolls raise concerns about NFP miss - US strikes trade deal with Vietnam ahead of July 9 deadline - Pound feels the heat of fiscal shenanigans - S&P 500 hits fresh record high ahead of jobs report
XM Group | Před 2 dny
Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.
Moneta Markets | Před 2 dny