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EUR/USD
Oct 17, 2014 at 11:43
Mitglied seit Jun 07, 2011
372 Posts
EUR / USD fell yesterday to level 1.2700 coinciding with the MM50 periods.
At this level reacted and recovered to the levels of 1.2800.
The short term trend is positive and if the pair breaks the barrier of 1.2900 could lead to the 1.3000 major psychological level.
At this level reacted and recovered to the levels of 1.2800.
The short term trend is positive and if the pair breaks the barrier of 1.2900 could lead to the 1.3000 major psychological level.
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Oct 17, 2014 at 12:35
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
There is a hanging man candlestick in the EUR/USD daily filter, which is usually a signal for reversal. In combination with the resistance at 1.2840 - 1.2850, which is exactly where the hanging man candlestick is, I think EUR/USD will start descending again. That said, if it doesn't and breaks above the resistance at 1.2840, it will likely head for 1.2900.
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
Mitglied seit Oct 08, 2011
137 Posts
Oct 17, 2014 at 17:03
Mitglied seit Oct 08, 2011
137 Posts
EUR/USD - daily chart.
The high from 10/15/14 (1.2886) is a legitimate buy-stop entry to trade to near 1.3000
Once prices break, there could be a resistance @ between 1.2925 & 1.2950 as it is the low of the next Reverse Hook
Early entry is the high from yesterday (1.2844)
the early entry is more profit, but also a higher risk to enter.
The goal is for prices to meet up with the MA-14, which has not been touched in (so far) 15 weeks.
At this point there is no congestion anymore on the daily chart.
There is a congestion on the 4 hr. chart with currently 12 bars.
Best bar to trade is bar 21 or higher - but trend overrides congestion.
Earliest bar to trade is bar 17
if an earlier bar breaks, set the SL very tight.
Worst case, the trade has to be attempted again if stopped out.
The high from 10/15/14 (1.2886) is a legitimate buy-stop entry to trade to near 1.3000
Once prices break, there could be a resistance @ between 1.2925 & 1.2950 as it is the low of the next Reverse Hook
Early entry is the high from yesterday (1.2844)
the early entry is more profit, but also a higher risk to enter.
The goal is for prices to meet up with the MA-14, which has not been touched in (so far) 15 weeks.
At this point there is no congestion anymore on the daily chart.
There is a congestion on the 4 hr. chart with currently 12 bars.
Best bar to trade is bar 21 or higher - but trend overrides congestion.
Earliest bar to trade is bar 17
if an earlier bar breaks, set the SL very tight.
Worst case, the trade has to be attempted again if stopped out.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Oct 20, 2014 at 06:21
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
The EURUSD initially tried to rally during the course of the day on Friday, but fell back below the 1.28 level. Is expected a strong resistance from 1.2994 limiting the upside and bringing a fall resumption. Below 1.2624 minor support will turn bias back to the downside.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Oct 20, 2014 at 07:26
Mitglied seit Jun 07, 2011
372 Posts
EUR/USD moved lower on Friday when reached near the MM200 resistance.
It stopped above 1.2700 (S1) line and MM50.
Significant levels of support: 1.2700 (S1) - 1.2600 (S2) - 1.2500 (S3);
Significant levels of resistance: 1.2900 (R1) - 1.3000 (R2) - 1.3100 (R3).
It stopped above 1.2700 (S1) line and MM50.
Significant levels of support: 1.2700 (S1) - 1.2600 (S2) - 1.2500 (S3);
Significant levels of resistance: 1.2900 (R1) - 1.3000 (R2) - 1.3100 (R3).
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Oct 20, 2014 at 16:10
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
After that hanged man candlestick on the daily filter chart right under the resistance I expected EUR/USD would start dropping again, and it did, but not nearly as much as I suspected it would. Now there is a doji in the daily filter chart, perhaps signifying another reversal. That said, I think range contintues and I don't believe we will be able to tell whether EUR/USD will really start climbing again before it breaks above the resistance at 1.2840.
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Oct 21, 2014 at 06:23
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
EURUSD initially fell during the course of the yesterday Asian session, but rose back up to the 1.28 level on the European and US session. The pair is managing to stay above the 10-day moving average and we might see a rally to the 50 day moving average at 1.2857.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Oct 08, 2011
137 Posts
Oct 21, 2014 at 07:01
Mitglied seit Oct 08, 2011
137 Posts
I posted a buy signal on Oct. 17 with an explanation as to how to trade it:
I mentioned that there was a congestion on the 4 hr. chart with (then) 12 bars...
The congestion now is on bar Nr. 22 on the 4 hr. chart.
the highs from bars 21 on are the safest ones to trade.
The highs of the last 4 bars on the daily chart are all legitimate buy-stop entries, where yesterday's high is the highest risk, but also the highest profit.
If prices trade through the high from Oct. 15, try to stay in the trade to just below 1.30, or to a price level where current prices meet the MA 14.
I mentioned that there was a congestion on the 4 hr. chart with (then) 12 bars...
The congestion now is on bar Nr. 22 on the 4 hr. chart.
the highs from bars 21 on are the safest ones to trade.
The highs of the last 4 bars on the daily chart are all legitimate buy-stop entries, where yesterday's high is the highest risk, but also the highest profit.
If prices trade through the high from Oct. 15, try to stay in the trade to just below 1.30, or to a price level where current prices meet the MA 14.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Oct 21, 2014 at 15:32
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
EUR/USD has been testing the resistance level at 1.2840 for days now but it seems it cannot break above it. Still, there is no proper signal yet for a reversal and the situation remains unclear.
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
Mitglied seit Apr 14, 2014
230 Posts
Mitglied seit Oct 11, 2013
775 Posts
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