EUR/USD
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Jul 08, 2016 at 07:45
Yesterday EURUSD fell with a narrow range and closed near the low of the day, in addition managed to close within the previous day range, which suggests being slightly on the bearish side of neutral.
Today we will have the nonfarm payrolls data and market is expecting the creation of 175K new jobs in June but this number is also subject to strong reviews in the upcoming months, and those reviews also tend to trigger volatility in the EURUSD.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1222 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1096 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1095 (resistance) and Fridays low at 1.0912 (support).
Today we will have the nonfarm payrolls data and market is expecting the creation of 175K new jobs in June but this number is also subject to strong reviews in the upcoming months, and those reviews also tend to trigger volatility in the EURUSD.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1222 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1096 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1095 (resistance) and Fridays low at 1.0912 (support).
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Jul 08, 2016 at 15:58
I was hoping that the fundamentals today would cause a move in a clear direction, rather than a whipsaw, but clearly that wasn't the cause. EUR/USD is still struggling to break below 1.1030 and it's doubtful that will happen this week.
Jul 10, 2016 at 23:16
victoriajensen posted:
I was hoping that the fundamentals today would cause a move in a clear direction, rather than a whipsaw, but clearly that wasn't the cause. EUR/USD is still struggling to break below 1.1030 and it's doubtful that will happen this week.
Eur/Usd is still holding just above 1.1000 level, lack of strength to continue its downside movement, only if the pair breaks below the support level will result further downward extension.
Jul 11, 2016 at 05:30
The single currency marked a volatile session against the US dollar on Friday. But finally the opening price was close to the closing, respectively, 1.1061 and 1.1051. In the early hours bears prevailed and the pair hit the bottom for the day at 1.1002. Subsequently, however, the euro gained advantage and so the difference between the highest and lowest value was 108 pips. If expectations for further depreciation of the euro justify, we may soon expect a test of the support at 1.0970.
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Jul 11, 2016 at 07:01
On the last Friday’s session the EURUSD went back and forward with a wide range but closed in the red although in the middle of the daily range and managed to close below the previous Thursday’s range, suggesting bearish momentum.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1214 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1099 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1097 (resistance) and daily support 1.0900.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1214 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1099 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1097 (resistance) and daily support 1.0900.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Jul 11, 2016 at 09:41
EUR/USD may have formed a double bottom above the support at 1.1030. If that is so its next target is likely around 1.1060 - 1.1070.
Mitglied seit Oct 08, 2011
137 Posts
Jul 11, 2016 at 11:09
EUR/USD daily chart
the daily chart is currently in congestion with 12 bars, including today's bar.
in this particular case the measuring bar (MB) is easy to spot. it is the long 'Brexit' bar 12 trading-days ago.
All following bars have their open and close price inside the high and low of the MB (only open OR close is required)
One of the characteristics of congestion is, ALTERNATING OPENS AND CLOSES in price bars.
Usually there are 1 or 2 bars that open high and close low, followed by 1 or 2 bars where open and closes are vice versa.
Last weeks' Thursday and Friday bars opened high and closed low.
This means, chances are that today's bar on the daily chart may close ABOVE the open price.
With this knowledge, a faster time frame can be used to trade in the suggested direction.
the daily chart is currently in congestion with 12 bars, including today's bar.
in this particular case the measuring bar (MB) is easy to spot. it is the long 'Brexit' bar 12 trading-days ago.
All following bars have their open and close price inside the high and low of the MB (only open OR close is required)
One of the characteristics of congestion is, ALTERNATING OPENS AND CLOSES in price bars.
Usually there are 1 or 2 bars that open high and close low, followed by 1 or 2 bars where open and closes are vice versa.
Last weeks' Thursday and Friday bars opened high and closed low.
This means, chances are that today's bar on the daily chart may close ABOVE the open price.
With this knowledge, a faster time frame can be used to trade in the suggested direction.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Mitglied seit Sep 12, 2015
1948 Posts
Jul 11, 2016 at 13:48
victoriajensen posted:I agree,although EUR cant afford to go above this level as it will kill buying value the higher it gets.
EUR/USD may have formed a double bottom above the support at 1.1030. If that is so its next target is likely around 1.1060 - 1.1070.
"They mistook leverage with genius".
Mitglied seit Oct 11, 2013
775 Posts
Jul 12, 2016 at 02:56
The EURUSD in taking a break for now, but it seems like it wants to keep retracing to the upside. Lets see how strong the Euro gets this week.
Jul 12, 2016 at 05:23
On Monday session the single currency remained close to unchanged against the US dollar. The EUR/USD pair traded in relatively narrow range and session closed only only 4 pips up. RSI remains in neutral territory but the pair continues to move below the averages. The negative outlook prevail, as next target appers to be 1.1020.
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Jul 12, 2016 at 06:41
Yesterday EURUSD went back and forward without any clear direction but managed to close in the green, near the high of the day, although closed within the previous day range, which suggests being slightly on the bullish side of neutral.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1203 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1100 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1090 (resistance) and daily support 1.0900.
The pair continues to trade below all 3 moving averages the 10, 50 and 200 that should act as dynamic resistances.
The key levels to watch are: The 50-day moving average at 1.1203 (resistance), the 200-day moving average at 1.1100 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1097, the 10-day moving average at 1.1090 (resistance) and daily support 1.0900.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014
1117 Posts
Jul 12, 2016 at 10:17
EUR/USD is currently testing the resistance at 1.1120, which coincides with (MA)89 on the four-hour time-frame. A breakout above that level will likely lead to a further move to the upside towards target 1.1160.
Jul 12, 2016 at 16:15
EUR/USD did not make significant movement yesterday. The pair traded higher earlier this morning and hit 1.1090. Trading signals are up in nearest term but as long as price stays below 1.1200, I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase. Immediate support is at 1.1050. A clear break below could lead the price to neutral zone testing 1.1000, which needs to be clearly pierced down to the preservation of strong bearish scenario with targets near 1.0700. On the upside, a clear break and daily close above 1.1200 would activate my expectations to see the new model as direction, possibly testing 1.1300 - 1.1400.
Jul 12, 2016 at 18:21
The EUR/USD is trading relatively unchanged since yesterday's session. The pair reached a high of 1.1125 and then plummeted again below the 200SMA making a low of 1.1052. The pair is now 1.1069 and is headed to first support at 1.0951.
Jul 12, 2016 at 19:38
On Tuesday, the dollar falls against other major currencies as investors shifted attention to the forthcoming meeting of global central banks on expectations of additional stimulus measures from their side.
EUR/USD rose to 1.1098, but later lost 30 pips to 1,1069.
EUR/USD rose to 1.1098, but later lost 30 pips to 1,1069.
Mitglied seit Oct 11, 2013
775 Posts
Jul 12, 2016 at 22:43
There is no clear entry on the EURUSD due to the fact that the pair may go in any direction. Just waiting for it to take a clear trend.
