Forex Doctor (Theo forex_trader_439444)
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Forex DoctorThảo luận
Jun 26, 2017 at 07:26
672Lượt xem
17 Replies
Tham gia từ Feb 16, 2011
222bài viết
Sep 01, 2017 at 10:03
Hello,
Do you trade manually or using EA?
Best regards,
Yury.
Do you trade manually or using EA?
Best regards,
Yury.
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 03, 2017 at 06:32
The performance you see there is not an EA, it is the result of my discretionary forex and index trading. I teach trading and I have several years of real money trading experience. Started trading equities in 1997, warrants in 1999 and futures in 2001. Since 2007 I focus mostly on the foreign exchange market, I developed several profitable trading strategies for the USD pairs and I am executing these strategies on the account you see. More on my personal professional background you can find here:
https://de.linkedin.com/in/henry-philippson-34ba873/de
best regards and have a nice weekend.
Henry Philippson
https://de.linkedin.com/in/henry-philippson-34ba873/de
best regards and have a nice weekend.
Henry Philippson
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 07, 2017 at 14:52
Daer Yury,
there is now the option to automatically copy my trades via signalstart.com
https://www.signalstart.com/analysis/forexdoctor/25269
best regards,
Henry
there is now the option to automatically copy my trades via signalstart.com
https://www.signalstart.com/analysis/forexdoctor/25269
best regards,
Henry
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 11, 2017 at 08:28
Dear fcardix,
I will make the full account data available for you for the next 48 hours. Please tell me what you think about it.
regards, hp
I will make the full account data available for you for the next 48 hours. Please tell me what you think about it.
regards, hp
Sep 11, 2017 at 14:41
Hi Henry
I downloaded your trades and made some statistical analisys. I know there are no 'magic' index to evaluate if a strategy will be profittable or not in the future but I use a lot System Quality Analisys Index (created by Mr. Van Tharp). I relay a lot on this index because, in my experience of real system evaluation it proved to be reliable and also because it is the best index that works as target function on a Walk Forward Analisys process during strategy development.
The simple form of this index is 10*AverageTradeP&L/StandardDeviation of trade P&L
According with Mr. Van Tharp reccomendation a tradable system should have an index between 1.7 and 7. Your trading system has so far SQN=0.98.
Even the equity curve mearured on money and meaured on Pips are extremelly different, also your the number of cuncurrent trades vhange a lot during time adn it reach 25. This facts are so relevant to be justified by an adaptation to changing market volatilitily, instead it could warn that sometimes you add at lossing trades to bet on the recovery of the position. May be I am wrong on this specific point but the SQN < 1.7 make the system not tradable for me anyway.
I will appreciate your comment in any case.
Thanks
I downloaded your trades and made some statistical analisys. I know there are no 'magic' index to evaluate if a strategy will be profittable or not in the future but I use a lot System Quality Analisys Index (created by Mr. Van Tharp). I relay a lot on this index because, in my experience of real system evaluation it proved to be reliable and also because it is the best index that works as target function on a Walk Forward Analisys process during strategy development.
The simple form of this index is 10*AverageTradeP&L/StandardDeviation of trade P&L
According with Mr. Van Tharp reccomendation a tradable system should have an index between 1.7 and 7. Your trading system has so far SQN=0.98.
Even the equity curve mearured on money and meaured on Pips are extremelly different, also your the number of cuncurrent trades vhange a lot during time adn it reach 25. This facts are so relevant to be justified by an adaptation to changing market volatilitily, instead it could warn that sometimes you add at lossing trades to bet on the recovery of the position. May be I am wrong on this specific point but the SQN < 1.7 make the system not tradable for me anyway.
I will appreciate your comment in any case.
Thanks
Tham gia từ Feb 22, 2011
4862bài viết
Sep 12, 2017 at 06:50
Well it is
fully verified account
at reputable broker
- quite fresh
- trade size is very inconsistent, I would not call it martingale but, trading so different trade sizes is a bit about luck and not about being consistent
09.07.2017 07:06 09.07.2017 08:00 EURUSD Sell 0.15 - - 1.19204 1.19300 -9.6 -12.90 53m -0.13%
tag
09.07.2017 10:35 09.07.2017 10:39 EURUSD Sell 0.25 - - 1.19718 1.19736 -1.8 -5.14 3m -0.05%
tag
09.07.2017 17:00 09.07.2017 17:09 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20273 1.20110 16.3 162.76 9m 1.67%
tag
09.07.2017 17:04 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20208 1.20120 8.8 84.70 14m 0.83%
tag
09.07.2017 17:15 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20049 1.20128 -7.9 -89.08 3m -0.86%
tag
09.07.2017 17:16 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20060 1.20132 -7.2 -81.80 2m -0.80%
tag
09.07.2017 18:07 09.07.2017 19:40 EURUSD Buy 1.25 - - 1.19990 1.19967 -2.3 -30.84 1h 33m -0.30%
tag
09.07.2017 19:34 09.07.2017 21:03 EURUSD Buy 0.45 - - 1.19998 1.20189 19.1 69.03 1h 28m 0.67%
tag
09.07.2017 21:04 09.07.2017 23:12 EURUSD Sell 2.55 - - 1.20185 1.20216 -3.1 -74.70 2h 7m -0.73%
fully verified account
at reputable broker
- quite fresh
- trade size is very inconsistent, I would not call it martingale but, trading so different trade sizes is a bit about luck and not about being consistent
09.07.2017 07:06 09.07.2017 08:00 EURUSD Sell 0.15 - - 1.19204 1.19300 -9.6 -12.90 53m -0.13%
tag
09.07.2017 10:35 09.07.2017 10:39 EURUSD Sell 0.25 - - 1.19718 1.19736 -1.8 -5.14 3m -0.05%
tag
09.07.2017 17:00 09.07.2017 17:09 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20273 1.20110 16.3 162.76 9m 1.67%
tag
09.07.2017 17:04 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20208 1.20120 8.8 84.70 14m 0.83%
tag
09.07.2017 17:15 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20049 1.20128 -7.9 -89.08 3m -0.86%
tag
09.07.2017 17:16 09.07.2017 17:18 EURUSD Sell 1.25 - - 1.20060 1.20132 -7.2 -81.80 2m -0.80%
tag
09.07.2017 18:07 09.07.2017 19:40 EURUSD Buy 1.25 - - 1.19990 1.19967 -2.3 -30.84 1h 33m -0.30%
tag
09.07.2017 19:34 09.07.2017 21:03 EURUSD Buy 0.45 - - 1.19998 1.20189 19.1 69.03 1h 28m 0.67%
tag
09.07.2017 21:04 09.07.2017 23:12 EURUSD Sell 2.55 - - 1.20185 1.20216 -3.1 -74.70 2h 7m -0.73%
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 12, 2017 at 07:18
Dear fcardix,
my trading style is to maximize profit, I dont really take care how much pips I make nor do I care about the stats you mentioned. The stas are like this because in some situations I increase my position size dramatically when I have a high probability setup in front of me.
regards, henry
my trading style is to maximize profit, I dont really take care how much pips I make nor do I care about the stats you mentioned. The stas are like this because in some situations I increase my position size dramatically when I have a high probability setup in front of me.
regards, henry
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 12, 2017 at 07:36
vontogr
as stated above, in some instances I increase my position size dramatically. You dont have to like it, thats how i do it
as stated above, in some instances I increase my position size dramatically. You dont have to like it, thats how i do it
Tham gia từ Feb 22, 2011
4862bài viết
Sep 12, 2017 at 14:33
hphilippson posted:
vontogr
as stated above, in some instances I increase my position size dramatically. You dont have to like it, thats how i do it
Risking so much is contradictory to your statement
I teach trading and I have several years of real money trading experience.
Started trading equities in 1997
why dont you post more mature account?
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 13, 2017 at 06:22
@togr
I don't know why I should have this discussion with you, Honza
I will make the account fully private
I don't know why I should have this discussion with you, Honza
I will make the account fully private
Tham gia từ Feb 22, 2011
4862bài viết
Sep 13, 2017 at 13:46
It is simply you have bold statement
like ...trading for years...
... teaching forex students...
and you can only support these statements with fresh martingale like system
like ...trading for years...
... teaching forex students...
and you can only support these statements with fresh martingale like system
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 14, 2017 at 06:21
scaling into positions does not mean its a martingale approach...
listen mate, I got the message, you dont like it.
so, just ignore it, okay?
listen mate, I got the message, you dont like it.
so, just ignore it, okay?
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 14, 2017 at 06:22
by the way, It is not a system..., the trading approach is 80% discretionary.
could be a bit heavy for you to grasp
could be a bit heavy for you to grasp
Sep 14, 2017 at 06:35
Dear Henry I don't want to attack you or to put you on a difficult situation.
You can do whatever you want with your money and with your account.
If you gain or lose nothing change for me.
I simply applied my own risk acalisys tool that I use for my own trading on your account. The result was that your trading history is not stable, it WAS profittable but it WAS NOT stable.
There is an huge difference between a profittable trading having not stable history and a profittable trading having stabel and costant trade distribution statistic.
You can also have fantastic results playing at casino for 1, 2, ... 10 nights but this will never become a profitable future because you habe the statistics rules againt you behind.
So my post was only to highligh you the hidden risk behind your trading style. Your conclusion can obviusly be I am wrong and nothing change but then you don't need to get upset or may me I am even partially right and then you should reflect a little bit more and reconsider your trading approach.
Anyway it are your money and you can do whatever you want, including play at roulette, play at slot machine, make gift at banks behind your trading or (at this is what I suggest) invest less money in purchase a good book abour trading risk and learn it.
Everithing is up to you.
Have a great future anyway.
You can do whatever you want with your money and with your account.
If you gain or lose nothing change for me.
I simply applied my own risk acalisys tool that I use for my own trading on your account. The result was that your trading history is not stable, it WAS profittable but it WAS NOT stable.
There is an huge difference between a profittable trading having not stable history and a profittable trading having stabel and costant trade distribution statistic.
You can also have fantastic results playing at casino for 1, 2, ... 10 nights but this will never become a profitable future because you habe the statistics rules againt you behind.
So my post was only to highligh you the hidden risk behind your trading style. Your conclusion can obviusly be I am wrong and nothing change but then you don't need to get upset or may me I am even partially right and then you should reflect a little bit more and reconsider your trading approach.
Anyway it are your money and you can do whatever you want, including play at roulette, play at slot machine, make gift at banks behind your trading or (at this is what I suggest) invest less money in purchase a good book abour trading risk and learn it.
Everithing is up to you.
Have a great future anyway.
Tham gia từ Feb 22, 2011
4862bài viết
Sep 14, 2017 at 14:11
hphilippson posted:
by the way, It is not a system..., the trading approach is 80% discretionary.
could be a bit heavy for you to grasp
You know what show me your account after half a year and we will see
forex_trader_439444
Tham gia từ Jun 23, 2017
10bài viết
Sep 14, 2017 at 14:13
@fcardix
my remarks were not for you but for the other guy from czech republic.
you seem like a reasonable person.
my remarks were not for you but for the other guy from czech republic.
you seem like a reasonable person.
Tham gia từ Feb 22, 2011
4862bài viết
Sep 15, 2017 at 10:04
hphilippson posted:@hphilippson
@fcardix
my remarks were not for you but for the other guy from czech republic.
you seem like a reasonable person.
You know what? There are 2 kind of traders
A. - real trader - makes money for living from trading
B. kind - so called trader - makes money by writing articles about trading, teaching trading, etc but not from trading
you are a B.
FX Trader & Technical Analyst
BörseGo AG
Oktober 2014 – Heute (3 Jahre)München und Umgebung, Deutschland
Author of the “Daily FX” newsletter for BNP Paribas, Author
of the daily “DAX Blog” for Hypovereinsbank, Speaker at the
2015+2016 World of Trading Expo in Frankfurt (“Swingtrading
in the foreign exchange market”), webinars for CMC Markets
(“Introduction to foreign exchange trading”), Live Trading
webinar for JFD Brokers, Developing new trading strategies
and presenting trades on personal blog to over 4.150
followers on xxx
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