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eravo12
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Posts by
eravo12
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Bogie
in
Trading Systems
Apr 01, 2010 at 11:28
Dopamine EA !
Spread broker
in
New Traders
Mar 31, 2010 at 21:40
Hi everyone,I found a new website really interesting. It allows you to find a broker and compare the spread between them ! mt4spreads.comHappy trading !
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 31, 2010 at 15:10
Trading status March,30th 11:00 US time11:00 30.03 – Today is a really wrong forecast for the consensus. It’s means for the crowd. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast is 40K; the actual value is -23K and the previous was -24K. The predictive absolute error is 63K! 157.5% … In the same day the Chicago PMI forecast is 61.5; the actual value is 58.5 and the previous was 62.6. The predictive absolute error is 2.7! 4.39%. The both error create a strong bullish rally for the EURUSD and a strong bearish rally for the USDCHF (correlation or hedge strategy). In my case, it&rs...
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 24, 2010 at 21:52
Sorry, It was just a mistake ... Correction done !
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 24, 2010 at 19:26
Trading Status March,24th 15:24Whatever it will happen with the GBPUSD it's a good trade for me because I fixed a (acceptable for me) stop loss and the future is 50/50.
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 24, 2010 at 19:16
Trading Status March,24th 15:00 US time.1. The floating (771$) of the GBPUSD for the sub-system 4 is above my initial risk defined at 710$. In the same time, I saw a positive divergence with the EURUSD and the correlation with the GBPUSD is around 0.84. The decision today is to take the chance with the visual strategy divergence/correlation but I will cut the loss if the floating will touch 1095$ which represent a loss when the level 5 will be touch (loss around 3%). So we shall see ...Happy trading !
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 22, 2010 at 17:46
The system is based on martingale and the logic is the following since March, 02th 2009 :1. I accept to increase the negative pyramid up to 4 level and for me it's around 2% of negative floating.2. I use the same strategy but shared in 4 sub-strategies (same entrance signal but differents level of target/pyramid). I assume in this case that the maximum risk for 1 currency is 8%. I assume that each sub-strategy will be close in different time regarding the target/pyramid: the hypothetic result is the combined final risk for 1 currency should be below the maximal risk as 8%. The bad new for ...
Bogie-HedgeHog-v4g
in
Trading Systems
Mar 22, 2010 at 16:38
Hi FilipeBroker,Let me tell you quickly <how I see the market>. Imagine during 24 hours, you bet each hour. In this case you bet 24 times. When the price goes up you win 1$ and when the market goes down you loss 1$. So the range for your gain at the end of the day is between -24$ and +24$... Unlucky guy or Lucky guy... But you have 16.777.216 [Power(2;24)] differents 'future' ways for having this range (48 values) of results. So in my mind whatever the system you have it's works in certain period. I use often Monte Carlo because this method gives a several futures and special...
Bogie-HedgeHog-v4g
in
Trading Systems
Mar 22, 2010 at 16:07
Hi,Regarding the performance of this system I realized a Monte Carlo analysis (see below) regarding the statistic and not a distribution of each trades :1. The system has 5% of chance to have a DDmax above around 6.55%. So I suppose when the negative floating is above this value, the best way is to close manually the trades for having a chance to see the capital grow-up in the futur.2. I made an extrapolation (Max Consecutive Loss (6) * Worst Case Drawdown (6.55%) = 33.32%) which represent the maximal Drawdown supported by this system.3. So we can assume that with x% of the actual risk the sy...
What is considered a great EA? :)
in
Experienced Traders
Mar 03, 2010 at 02:38
1. What % per month should it be averaging? To be reasonnable, I think 8% per month is a good performance and if you will make this run during 5 years you will be happy :-) The second point is more your account grow up and less you performance grow up : it's look like correlation sizing account ...2. How long should it be forward tested? It's good to make a forward test to see what's happen in a specific period. In fact, I use forward test to see what's happen when the EA runs in the wrong way of the market.3. Do you think back tested results are important? Yes and not. I pref...
Tradena-Online (off-line)
in
Trading Systems
Mar 02, 2010 at 23:40
This system uses martingale.
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